Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ZUR
1 - 1
YVE
75%
16%
8%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
SCH
0 - 2
ZUR
22%
24%
54%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ZUR
1 - 1
YOB
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
NEX
3 - 5
ZUR
26%
25%
50%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
THU
1 - 6
ZUR
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
FCA
0 - 2
SCH
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCA
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
FCA
0 - 2
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
YVE
4 - 1
FCA
34%
26%
39%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
NEX
2 - 0
FCA
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |