Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
FCH
2 - 4
ZUR
7%
16%
78%
|
75 | 16 | 59 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 1
ZUR
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
ZUR
0 - 2
GCZ
31%
24%
45%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
ZUR
3 - 1
NEX
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
WAN
0 - 1
ZUR
18%
22%
61%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 2
STG
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 1
NEX
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
YOB
5 - 3
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
FCA
2 - 2
BAS
29%
24%
48%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
SCH
1 - 2
FCA
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |