Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
SER
2 - 3
ZUR
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
ZUR
2 - 2
YOB
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
WIL
0 - 1
ZUR
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ZUR
0 - 0
GCZ
32%
24%
44%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 1
ZUR
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
FCA
1 - 2
THU
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
FCA
4 - 0
WIL
52%
24%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
SER
1 - 1
FCA
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
FCA
0 - 1
YOB
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
GCZ
4 - 1
FCA
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |