Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
SCH
2 - 1
ZUR
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
BAS
5 - 3
ZUR
73%
17%
11%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ZUR
1 - 3
WIL
52%
24%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
THU
0 - 0
ZUR
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
ZUR
2 - 1
FCL
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
BAD
2 - 0
FCA
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
FCA
3 - 0
DEL
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
STG
1 - 0
FCA
65%
20%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
FCA
1 - 1
YOB
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCA
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |