Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZUR
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
ZUR
0 - 0
YOB
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
ZUR
1 - 0
LAU
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
STG
3 - 1
ZUR
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
ZUR
0 - 3
SER
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
FCA
0 - 1
STG
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2001 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCA
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
SER
3 - 3
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
FCA
2 - 2
SIO
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
FCA
1 - 0
GCZ
26%
23%
50%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |