Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
BEL
0 - 0
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
ZUR
3 - 2
LAU
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2000 |
ZUR
2 - 1
THU
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2000 |
DEL
0 - 2
ZUR
22%
26%
52%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
ZUR
2 - 2
SIO
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
FCA
3 - 1
SIO
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
BAD
1 - 3
FCA
29%
26%
46%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
FCA
2 - 2
LUG
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
FCA
1 - 1
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
THU
1 - 0
FCA
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |