Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
46.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SIO
1 - 1
ZUR
22%
23%
55%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ZUR
3 - 0
LUG
48%
24%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
GCZ
1 - 3
ZUR
26%
24%
51%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
ZUR
1 - 0
SER
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
ZUR
1 - 0
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
LAU
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
YOB
3 - 1
BAS
43%
23%
34%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 3
SIO
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
FCL
0 - 3
BAS
19%
22%
59%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 1
NEX
84%
12%
5%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |