Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
51.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
YVE
2 - 2
ZUR
21%
21%
58%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
GCZ
3 - 3
ZUR
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ZUR
1 - 0
LUG
45%
24%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ZUR
6 - 2
SIO
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BAS
3 - 1
ZUR
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
ETO
1 - 0
BAS
10%
17%
74%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 0
LUG
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
3 - 1
OMO
70%
18%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SIO
0 - 1
BAS
15%
21%
64%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCL
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |