Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
55.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
FCV
3 - 2
ZUR
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ZUR
1 - 4
YOB
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
STG
2 - 3
ZUR
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCV
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 4
ZUR
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 2
SIO
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
LAU
1 - 3
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 2
LUG
70%
19%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
SIO
2 - 3
BAS
21%
24%
55%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 4
ZUR
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |