Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
56.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FCV
1 - 4
ZUR
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
LAU
4 - 0
ZUR
48%
25%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ZUR
2 - 2
LUG
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
YOB
2 - 1
ZUR
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
CHI
3 - 2
ZUR
8%
15%
77%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | -2 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
STG
1 - 3
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BAS
3 - 2
FCL
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
BAS
1 - 3
CSK
65%
20%
14%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SER
1 - 0
BAS
20%
22%
59%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
BAS
3 - 2
ANO
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |