Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
LUG
3 - 0
ZUR
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ZUR
0 - 1
YOB
18%
22%
60%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GCZ
1 - 1
ZUR
22%
25%
52%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
ZUR
0 - 2
BAS
24%
24%
52%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SIO
1 - 0
ZUR
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
SIO
0 - 3
BAS
23%
24%
54%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
BAS
0 - 0
GCZ
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 1
LUG
69%
19%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
ZUR
0 - 2
BAS
24%
24%
52%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
FCL
0 - 1
BAS
22%
23%
55%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |