Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
53.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 0
ZUR
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 0
ZUR
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
WOH
0 - 1
ZUR
15%
19%
66%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ZUR
3 - 3
THU
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 1
ZUR
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 0
LPO
65%
20%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 1
LUG
71%
19%
11%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
YOB
4 - 3
BAS
35%
23%
42%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
YFJ
1 - 4
BAS
9%
15%
76%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 2
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |