Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
ZUR
1 - 1
LAZ
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 3
ZUR
12%
18%
70%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GCZ
3 - 0
ZUR
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
VAS
2 - 2
ZUR
36%
24%
40%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ZUR
1 - 2
YOB
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 2
SLB
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 5
BAS
6%
15%
79%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 0
SER
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
MUD
3 - 3
BAS
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
BAS
25%
24%
52%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |