Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SCH
0 - 6
ZUR
8%
15%
77%
|
82 | 41 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
THU
1 - 3
ZUR
22%
23%
55%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ZUR
3 - 1
STG
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
YOB
1 - 0
ZUR
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
ZUR
2 - 2
BEL
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 2
GCZ
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MEN
0 - 5
BAS
4%
11%
85%
|
85 | 37 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
CLU
2 - 1
BAS
29%
26%
46%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
YOB
2 - 2
BAS
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
4 - 1
NEX
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |