Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 1
STR
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
GCZ
2 - 2
ZUR
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
ZUR
2 - 1
YOB
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
FCA
2 - 1
ZUR
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCL
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 0
BAS
27%
25%
49%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
BAS
4 - 0
FCV
77%
16%
8%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
BAS
4 - 2
GÖT
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
SIO
2 - 0
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
GÖT
1 - 1
BAS
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |