Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
ZUR
4 - 0
GCZ
60%
22%
19%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
EMP
2 - 1
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
HER
0 - 6
ZUR
7%
15%
78%
|
85 | 10 | 75 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
17%
23%
61%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
BJK
2 - 0
ZUR
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
NEX
0 - 3
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
SAR
1 - 2
BAS
31%
24%
45%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
FCL
0 - 9
BAS
7%
14%
80%
|
85 | 29 | 56 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 1
THU
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
MAT
0 - 4
BAS
37%
24%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |