Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 3
HSV
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
STG
1 - 0
ZUR
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 0
THU
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
ZUR
0 - 5
LEV
42%
23%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
THU
2 - 1
ZUR
25%
24%
51%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
SCP
2 - 0
BAS
52%
24%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
BAS
3 - 0
NEX
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
YOB
2 - 0
BAS
45%
24%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2007 |
HSV
1 - 1
BAS
46%
23%
31%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
STA
93%
6%
2%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |