Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
GCZ
1 - 0
ZUR
50%
24%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
ZUR
2 - 1
BIF
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
ZUR
3 - 0
STG
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
BIF
2 - 0
ZUR
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
BAS
5 - 1
THU
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
SIR
0 - 1
BAS
31%
26%
44%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SCH
1 - 2
BAS
16%
21%
64%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2005 |
BAS
1 - 1
YOB
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
BAS
5 - 0
SIR
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |