Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
SER
2 - 1
ZUR
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
ZUR
1 - 1
THU
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
GCZ
2 - 0
ZUR
70%
18%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
ZUR
1 - 1
NEX
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
DEL
2 - 2
ZUR
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
YOB
3 - 4
BAS
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 2
GCZ
51%
22%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 1
JUV
24%
24%
53%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
THU
1 - 4
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
MUD
1 - 1
BAS
72%
18%
11%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | -1 |