Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
ZUR
2 - 1
LUG
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ZUR
2 - 2
LAU
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1999 |
NEW
3 - 1
ZUR
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
FCL
0 - 1
ZUR
31%
27%
43%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
BAS
3 - 3
LAU
32%
25%
44%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
FCL
3 - 0
BAS
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
BAS
0 - 0
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
DEL
2 - 2
BAS
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
BAS
4 - 1
STG
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |