Zurbarán vs Sporting Malpartida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.6%
58.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurbarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 0
ZUR
55%
20%
25%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ZUR
0 - 1
SBA
14%
18%
68%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CDT
3 - 1
ZUR
82%
11%
6%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ZUR
0 - 1
SIR
36%
22%
42%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
FMO
5 - 0
ZUR
82%
10%
7%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 2
SIR
75%
14%
11%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FMO
5 - 2
SMA
68%
16%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 4
SPH
33%
22%
45%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
7 - 1
SMA
59%
19%
22%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SMA
3 - 1
TOR
31%
22%
47%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |