Zurbarán vs Montehermoso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurbarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
CHI
2 - 2
ZUR
56%
22%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
ZUR
0 - 1
BRO
56%
22%
22%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ARR
7 - 0
ZUR
78%
14%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ZUR
0 - 4
HER
21%
23%
56%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
COR
7 - 0
ZUR
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
MON
0 - 0
CAC
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MON
2 - 0
AMA
35%
25%
40%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 2
MON
22%
23%
55%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
MON
2 - 0
BRO
80%
14%
7%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ARR
1 - 1
MON
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |