Zurbarán vs Gimnástico Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurbarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
MOR
3 - 2
ZUR
53%
21%
26%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ZUR
2 - 4
SAM
41%
25%
34%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
TRU
1 - 1
ZUR
68%
19%
14%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
AMA
5 - 3
ZUR
66%
21%
14%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
ZUR
1 - 2
CAC
19%
23%
58%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnástico Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
GIM
0 - 0
CAC
35%
26%
39%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
GIM
62%
21%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
GIM
1 - 1
CHI
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BRO
1 - 1
GIM
13%
21%
67%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
GIM
4 - 1
ARR
32%
25%
44%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |