Zurbarán vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
54.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurbarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
HER
2 - 3
ZUR
68%
19%
13%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ZUR
1 - 3
COR
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
CIU
2 - 2
ZUR
33%
24%
43%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ZUR
3 - 3
SAG
31%
25%
44%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GAR
2 - 1
ZUR
48%
23%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ARR
1 - 1
CAC
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
ARR
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ARR
4 - 1
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BRO
0 - 4
ARR
11%
19%
71%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
AMA
1 - 0
ARR
49%
26%
26%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |