Jong Essevee vs Racing Club Harelbeke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
15º
7º
53
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
83% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
51.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
72.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
72.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
63.5% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
91% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
32.5% | 21.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
67.5% | 78.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Essevee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RCL
1 - 1
ZUL
36%
24%
41%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OOS
3 - 1
ZUL
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ZUL
2 - 1
ROD
64%
20%
15%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
ZUL
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ZUL
1 - 2
SPO
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Club Harelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
ZEL
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 1
KVC
84%
11%
6%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RCL
2 - 2
SPO
52%
23%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NIN
5 - 0
SPO
49%
23%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
5 - 0
JON
68%
18%
13%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |