Zuidvogels vs De Bilt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.4%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
6º
3º
33
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zuidvogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ROD
2 - 2
ZUI
29%
22%
49%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ZUI
9 - 0
VVM
88%
9%
4%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 0
ZUI
10%
16%
74%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ZUI
11 - 1
NSC
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 3
ZUI
36%
22%
43%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
De Bilt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCD
3 - 1
NUN
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 2
FCD
69%
16%
15%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCD
5 - 2
HBO
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MON
3 - 2
FCD
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FCD
0 - 1
ZOB
28%
22%
51%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |