Zug 94 vs Collina d'Oro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+78%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
7º
3º
64
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 99.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zug 94
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
WOH
4 - 1
ZUG
54%
22%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LUZ
2 - 0
ZUG
20%
22%
58%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ZUG
3 - 2
RSZ
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ZUG
3 - 1
BUO
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 1
ZUG
20%
21%
59%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Collina d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCC
3 - 2
ASC
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 1
CHA
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BRU
0 - 1
FCC
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 1
FCS
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 2
FCC
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |