Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 3-2
Zrinjski Mostar vs Valletta FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
SLO
0 - 1
ZRI
31%
28%
42%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
ZRI
1 - 1
TNV
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
TNV
1 - 0
ZRI
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
ZRI
3 - 0
RAD
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
ZRI
2 - 1
GOR
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Valletta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 1
KUK
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
KUK
0 - 0
VAL
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
BIR
1 - 2
VAL
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 1
BAL
44%
26%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 1
GZI
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |