Zrinjski Mostar vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
1º
2º
1º
65
2º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 1
ZRI
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
ZEP
1 - 2
ZRI
31%
24%
44%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 1
ZRI
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
ZRI
7 - 1
IGM
70%
19%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
ZRI
2 - 0
RAD
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 6
SAR
20%
25%
55%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 2
SAR
6%
14%
80%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
IGM
0 - 3
SAR
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SAR
4 - 0
VEL
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 3
SAR
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |