Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 1-2
Zrinjski Mostar vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
ČEL
1 - 0
ZRI
21%
28%
52%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
LUD
1 - 0
ZRI
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
ZEL
2 - 0
ZRI
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 2
ZRI
34%
28%
39%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
ZRI
3 - 1
GOS
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
FKV
0 - 2
LUD
13%
23%
64%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
LUD
1 - 0
ZRI
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
LUD
0 - 1
LPL
61%
22%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
FHV
1 - 0
LUD
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
BER
1 - 1
LUD
32%
27%
42%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |