Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Tuzla City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
7º
2º
27
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 4
ZRI
25%
28%
47%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
ZRI
1 - 0
BBL
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ZRI
3 - 0
SIR
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
POS
0 - 1
ZRI
33%
29%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ZRI
4 - 3
SAR
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 6
BBL
33%
28%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ZEL
2 - 0
SLO
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 2
IGM
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ZBE
3 - 2
SLO
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 0
SLO
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |