Q. Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round Final
Global 5-0
Zorya Luhansk vs Charleroi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
STA
2 - 0
ZOR
22%
25%
53%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
ZOR
41%
26%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ZOR
0 - 0
MET
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
MEZ
0 - 6
ZOR
23%
26%
51%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
PER
3 - 1
ZOR
41%
27%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Charleroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
LOK
2 - 2
CHA
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
ZOR
41%
26%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 1
MOU
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
BEI
1 - 4
CHA
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
CHA
5 - 1
BEI
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |