Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
10º
7º
62
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
LNZ
1 - 1
ZOR
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
INH
1 - 0
ZOR
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
ZOR
2 - 1
LIV
63%
23%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
HKR
3 - 0
ZOR
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ZOR
1 - 2
FCV
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
CHO
0 - 3
SHA
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SHA
2 - 2
DYN
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
POL
0 - 1
SHA
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
SHA
2 - 4
KOL
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
HKR
1 - 2
SHA
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |