Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis

Zorya Luhansk Shakhtar Donetsk
84 ELO 85
-5.2% Tilt 10.3%
261º General ELO ranking 240º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
36.1%
Zorya Luhansk
24.5%
Draw
39.4%
Shakhtar Donetsk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
Zorya Luhansk
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.4%
Win probability
Shakhtar Donetsk
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zorya Luhansk
-4%
+17%
Shakhtar Donetsk

Points and table prediction

Zorya Luhansk
Their league position
Shakhtar Donetsk
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
14º
10º
71
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Shakhtar Donetsk
71
71
100%
Dynamo Kyiv
69
69
100%
FC Kryvbas
57
57
100%
Dnipro-1
52
52
100%
Polissya Zhytomyr
50
50
100%
Rukh Lviv
49
49
100%
LNZ Cherkasy
41
41
100%
Oleksandriya
34
34
100%
Vorskla Poltava
33
33
100%
Zorya Luhansk
10º
32
32
10º
0%
Chornomorets Odessa
12º
32
32
11º
0%
Kolos Kovalivka
11º
32
32
12º
0%
Veres Rivne
13º
28
28
13º
100%
Obolon
14º
26
26
14º
100%
Minai
15º
25
25
15º
100%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
16º
23
23
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 100%
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zorya Luhansk
Zorya Luhansk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2024
ZOR
Zorya Luhansk
1 - 0
Chornomorets Odessa
CHO
59%
22%
19%
84 76 8 0
09 Apr. 2024
SKD
Dnipro-1
2 - 2
Zorya Luhansk
ZOR
48%
24%
28%
84 85 1 0
04 Apr. 2024
ZOR
Zorya Luhansk
0 - 3
Dynamo Kyiv
DYN
39%
25%
36%
85 85 0 -1
31 Mar. 2024
ZOR
Zorya Luhansk
2 - 1
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
MET
74%
18%
8%
84 67 17 +1
23 Mar. 2024
OBO
Obolon
1 - 2
Zorya Luhansk
ZOR
18%
23%
59%
84 72 12 0

Matches

Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2024
VOR
Vorskla Poltava
0 - 1
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHA
31%
24%
45%
85 82 3 0
07 Apr. 2024
SHA
Shakhtar Donetsk
3 - 1
Rukh Lviv
RYV
64%
21%
16%
85 79 6 0
03 Apr. 2024
SHA
Shakhtar Donetsk
4 - 1
Chornomorets Odessa
CHO
67%
19%
15%
85 76 9 0
30 Mar. 2024
OBO
Obolon
0 - 3
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHA
12%
20%
68%
85 72 13 0
15 Mar. 2024
KPT
Karpaty Lviv
2 - 2
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHA
21%
21%
58%
85 75 10 0