Zognese 98 vs Valcalepio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+120%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zognese 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ZOG
0 - 4
NUO
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
ZOG
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ZOG
0 - 1
FIO
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 1
ZOG
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ZOG
2 - 1
ALB
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Valcalepio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
CAL
25%
23%
53%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
3 - 2
CAL
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 2
BRE
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 3
CAL
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAR
48%
23%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |