Zognese 98 vs Baradello Clusone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
42.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zognese 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 0
ZOG
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ZOG
3 - 1
FOR
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Baradello Clusone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAL
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
FIO
0 - 3
BAR
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |