Znicz Biała Piska vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
64.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Znicz Biała Piska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ZBP
3 - 1
MVS
27%
21%
52%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MKS
2 - 0
ZBP
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ZBP
3 - 3
HUR
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
SWI
2 - 1
ZBP
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
ZBP
3 - 0
LOM
18%
22%
60%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +4 |
Matches
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
LTM
0 - 0
SOK
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 2
LTM
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LTM
2 - 1
PEL
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
POL
3 - 0
LTM
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
LTM
3 - 0
BRA
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |