Zmaj Blato vs Neretva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zmaj Blato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MAK
3 - 0
ZMA
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ZMA
2 - 0
NKC
52%
24%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
HRV
1 - 0
ZMA
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
KAM
1 - 0
ZMA
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ZMA
1 - 0
GOS
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NER
2 - 0
NER
34%
25%
42%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
HJK
0 - 0
NER
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
OMI
2 - 1
NER
60%
21%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MAK
5 - 0
NER
67%
19%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
NER
0 - 1
NKC
45%
25%
30%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |