Zmaj Makarska vs Zagora Unešić analysis


32	ELO	47
-14.4%	Tilt	-11.9%
27911º	General ELO ranking	4649º
155º	Country ELO ranking	36º
ELO win probability

13.9%

Zmaj Makarska

21.1%

Draw

65%

Zagora Unešić

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

13.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%

21.1%

Draw

0-0

6.9%

1-1

10%

2-2

3.6%

3-3

0.6%

4-4

0.1%

0

21.1%

65%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-34%

+25%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

16º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

21

8º

16º

64

1º

12º

2º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

2º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	68	71	1º	100%
2º	64	67	2º	100%
3º	54	57	3º	100%
4º	47	50	4º	100%
5º	46	46	5º	100%
8º	39	42	6º	62.5%
6º	41	41	7º	47%
7º	40	41	8º	45.5%
9º	37	37	9º	74.5%
10º	36	36	10º	54.5%
11º	34	35	11º	42%
12º	33	34	12º	55.5%
13º	31	32	13º	68.5%
14º	30	30	14º	82.5%
15º	27	28	15º	95%
16º	21	22	16º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion play-offs	0%	0%
Mid-table	0%	100%
Relegation	100%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zmaj Makarska

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
13 Sep. 2023	PRB 1 - 0 MAK 62% 20% 18%	33	37	4	0
09 Sep. 2023	MAK 1 - 2 JUN 20% 25% 56%	34	45	11	-1
03 Sep. 2023	NER 0 - 0 MAK 60% 21% 19%	34	39	5	0
26 Aug. 2023	MAK 2 - 2 NKG 35% 23% 43%	34	36	2	0
27 May. 2023	UBV 1 - 1 MAK 35% 25% 40%	33	30	3	+1

Matches

Zagora Unešić

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
13 Sep. 2023	ZAG 3 - 1 USK 70% 18% 12%	45	37	8	0
09 Sep. 2023	PRB 1 - 0 ZAG 19% 22% 59%	46	35	11	-1
02 Sep. 2023	ZAG 4 - 1 VOD 76% 16% 8%	46	33	13	0
26 Aug. 2023	JUN 4 - 2 ZAG 32% 25% 43%	47	42	5	-1
19 Aug. 2023	NKR 2 - 3 ZAG 16% 21% 63%	47	34	13	0