Zmaj Makarska vs Split analysis


31	ELO	34
-12.6%	Tilt	-8.3%
27851º	General ELO ranking	21094º
152º	Country ELO ranking	95º
ELO win probability

41.8%

Zmaj Makarska

24.6%

Draw

33.6%

Split

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

41.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%

24.6%

Draw

0-0

5.4%

1-1

11.5%

2-2

6.1%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.6%

33.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-38%

+2%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

13º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

34

8º

15º

13º

27

6º

16º

15º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

15º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	65	65	1º	100%
2º	60	60	2º	100%
3º	53	53	3º	100%
4º	45	45	4º	0%
5º	45	45	5º	0%
6º	45	45	6º	100%
7º	43	43	7º	100%
8º	42	42	8º	100%
9º	41	41	9º	100%
10º	39	39	10º	100%
11º	38	38	11º	100%
12º	37	37	12º	100%
13º	34	34	13º	100%
14º	31	31	14º	100%
15º	27	27	15º	100%
16º	25	25	16º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion play-offs	0%	0%
Mid-table	100%	0%
Relegation	0%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zmaj Makarska

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
26 Mar. 2023	NER 2 - 0 MAK 52% 23% 25%	32	35	3	0
18 Mar. 2023	MAK 0 - 0 HNK 18% 24% 58%	31	46	15	+1
11 Mar. 2023	NKG 2 - 0 MAK 65% 19% 17%	32	39	7	-1
04 Mar. 2023	MAK 1 - 2 ZAG 16% 22% 62%	33	46	13	-1
25 Feb. 2023	VOD 1 - 2 MAK 63% 19% 18%	32	38	6	+1

Matches

Split

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
26 Mar. 2023	SPL 0 - 1 JUN 28% 24% 48%	33	41	8	0
18 Mar. 2023	NKH 0 - 0 SPL 64% 19% 17%	33	41	8	0
11 Mar. 2023	SPL 1 - 1 PRB 37% 24% 39%	33	37	4	0
04 Mar. 2023	SPL 0 - 1 NER 51% 22% 27%	33	31	2	0
25 Feb. 2023	HNK 5 - 0 SPL 73% 17% 10%	35	45	10	-2