Zmaj Makarska vs Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
51.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zmaj Makarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NER
2 - 0
MAK
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
NER
3 - 0
MAK
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MAK
2 - 0
UBV
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
JUN
3 - 1
MAK
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
MAK
0 - 2
KAM
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SPL
2 - 1
NER
34%
24%
41%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
UBV
0 - 5
SPL
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SPL
1 - 0
JUN
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
NKR
2 - 0
SPL
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
KAM
0 - 1
SPL
34%
25%
42%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |