Zmaj Makarska vs Primorac Biograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zmaj Makarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
JAD
2 - 0
MAK
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
MAK
0 - 0
SPL
24%
25%
51%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MAK
1 - 0
OMI
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MAK
1 - 0
HJK
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 4
MAK
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Primorac Biograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
PRB
2 - 1
OMI
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
HJK
2 - 0
PRB
56%
22%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
PRB
2 - 0
VAL
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
PRB
2 - 2
NKD
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
NER
1 - 0
PRB
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |