Zmaj Makarska vs Kaštel Gomilica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
8º
15º
13º
42
4º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zmaj Makarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
ZAG
6 - 1
MAK
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MAK
0 - 1
VOD
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GOS
1 - 1
MAK
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
OTO
2 - 1
MAK
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 0
PRB
37%
25%
39%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Kaštel Gomilica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
NKG
1 - 1
JUN
28%
22%
50%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NKH
2 - 1
NKG
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NKG
1 - 0
SPL
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2009 |
NER
0 - 0
NKG
62%
20%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
NKG
2 - 1
HRV
27%
24%
48%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |