Zmaj Makarska vs Neretva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zmaj Makarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
JAD
2 - 2
MAK
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
MAK
2 - 0
ZAG
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
NER
2 - 1
MAK
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MAK
4 - 0
GOS
47%
25%
29%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +3 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SOL
1 - 1
MAK
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ZAG
1 - 0
NER
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
NER
0 - 3
HRV
51%
25%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NER
1 - 0
GOS
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 1
NER
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +3 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NER
0 - 3
HNS
20%
25%
56%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -3 |