Zira FK vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
26.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
4º
6º
5º
68
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zira FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ZIR
0 - 0
SHA
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
ZIR
0 - 2
SFK
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 1
ZIR
15%
27%
58%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
ZIR
2 - 2
SHA
62%
22%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 2
ZIR
26%
28%
46%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 2
FCK
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
FKN
24%
29%
48%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FKN
4 - 0
TUR
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 1
FKN
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FKN
3 - 0
SEB
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |