Zimbru Chişinău II vs FCM Ungheni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
3º
7º
7º
0
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
1 | 36 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 30 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
0 | 26 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 26 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 25 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 24 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
3 | 24 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 18 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 17 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
1 | 15 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 9 |
11º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 5 |
12º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
57.5% | 63.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
30.5% | 24% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
CFO
1 - 2
ZIM
15%
20%
64%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ZIM
10 - 1
FSC
90%
7%
3%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
COD
2 - 4
ZIM
8%
17%
75%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CON
0 - 1
ZIM
6%
16%
78%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ZIM
1 - 0
CSF
90%
7%
2%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
FCM Ungheni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
ISK
2 - 1
UNG
39%
23%
38%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FCV
3 - 1
UNG
65%
16%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
FCS
0 - 3
UNG
11%
15%
74%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
UNG
4 - 2
VCU
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
UNG
0 - 1
SPA
63%
18%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |