Zimbru Chişinău vs Politehnica UTM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
6º
5º
1
7º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 10 |
2º
|
64.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 9 |
3º
|
64.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
7 | 7 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
1 | 1 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ZIM
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
SPA
0 - 6
ZIM
14%
22%
65%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
FCD
0 - 3
ZIM
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
PET
2 - 1
ZIM
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
MIL
3 - 0
ZIM
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Politehnica UTM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
SPA
0 - 0
SAX
27%
23%
49%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
SAX
2 - 3
FCD
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
PET
2 - 1
SAX
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
SAX
0 - 3
MIL
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
SAX
0 - 4
SHF
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |