Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 1-4
Zimbru Chişinău vs PAOK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
TIR
2 - 1
ZIM
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
ZIM
0 - 1
GRO
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
FCA
0 - 2
ZIM
14%
23%
63%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 2
ZIM
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
ZIM
0 - 0
CSK
49%
27%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
PAO
0 - 0
INT
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
QPR
0 - 1
PAO
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
PAO
1 - 0
XAN
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
PAO
2 - 1
RKC
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
PAO
0 - 1
DNI
30%
26%
45%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |