Zimbru Chişinău vs Milsami Orhei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
5º
2º
21
4º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ZIM
4 - 0
ZAR
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 1
ZIM
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
ZIM
0 - 3
AVA
39%
24%
37%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
SFC
5 - 3
ZIM
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PET
3 - 1
ZIM
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Milsami Orhei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
AST
1 - 0
MIL
63%
20%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 1
AST
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 0
TOR
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 4
MIL
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 1
FCD
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |