Q. Europa League Preliminary round Final
Global 2-0
Zimbru Chişinău vs Hapoel Tel Aviv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
ACH
1 - 3
ZIM
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
ZIM
3 - 1
TIG
61%
21%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1995 |
ZIM
4 - 0
PRB
81%
13%
6%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1995 |
ZIM
0 - 0
TIT
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1995 |
ZIM
3 - 1
TIG
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hapoel Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1988 |
HAP
0 - 3
MTA
61%
21%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1986 |
HAP
1 - 2
BEI
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1983 |
MAC
1 - 0
HAP
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
HAP
1 - 0
BNE
66%
18%
15%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1970 |
MTA
1 - 2
HAP
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -2 |